A just lately shared picture on X exhibiting the complete lineup of pending XRP ETF filings prompted a blunt response from market commentator Robert Ledferd. As an alternative of providing predictions or pleasure, he framed the second as a simple take a look at for the asset, noting that if XRP can not climb into double-digit territory as soon as this many ETFs are stay, the market might find yourself treating it as a joke.
The remark brings into query what worth stage truly represents significant progress as soon as institutional cash enters the image for XRP.
Why The Remark Landed Strongly
Ledferd reacted to a screenshot itemizing practically each main issuer getting ready an XRP product, together with corporations reminiscent of Bitwise, Grayscale, Constancy, VanEck, Invesco, CoinShares, Franklin Templeton, Hashdex, and ARK Make investments. The variety of issuers alone signifies that XRP is coming into a section the place institutional publicity will not be theoretical.
Associated Studying
The final consensus is that when these ETFs hit the market, XRP will obtain huge institutional inflows akin to that of Bitcoin and Ethereum, which, in flip, can be mirrored in its worth motion. With this in thoughts, the pundit famous that XRP would be the “joke of the yr” if these ETFs don’t deliver the cryptocurrency’s worth to at the least double digits.”
The place XRP Wants To Commerce For ETFs To Matter
The numerical actuality behind this expectation is simple. XRP is at the moment buying and selling effectively under the $3 worth stage. Notably, XRP is buying and selling at $2.3, which suggests even a return to its $3.65 all-time excessive would require a worth improve of about 40% from current ranges.
To achieve precise double digits above $10, it means the worth of XRP would want to rise greater than 320% from its present worth.
Earlier than XRP can goal double digits, nonetheless, it should convincingly break and shut above the area between $3 and $3.65. This area is a structural pivot as a result of it’s the place earlier rallies have misplaced momentum
If ETF demand is real, the primary signal of it is going to be whether or not XRP can push above the $3 line and maintain it as help. Such a transfer would verify that new inflows will not be being neutralized by promoting strain and that the shopping for strain is absorbing tokens at a quicker charge than they’re being distributed.
Associated Studying
XRP at the moment has a complete circulating provide of 60 billion tokens. Subsequently, a transfer to $4 implies a market cap of $240 billion. Alternatively, a transfer to $10 implies a valuation above $600 billion. A $600-billion valuation would place XRP behind solely Bitcoin when it comes to market cap rankings.
These numbers matter as a result of ETF influence will not be measured by worth alone however by how a lot capital is required to maneuver an asset of this dimension. If Spot XRP ETFs start attracting even a small fraction of the inflows seen in early Bitcoin ETF buying and selling, the push to $4 turns into extra sensible.
On the time of writing, the primary US Spot XRP-backed ETF has formally been launched by Canary Capital with ticker XRPC and commenced buying and selling on the Nasdaq Inventory Market on November 13, 2025.
Featured picture from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
