Right now, OpenAI launched its new Atlas net browser in a shock livestream. The present began with CEO Sam Altman himself, talking on to the viewers.
“We expect AI represents a uncommon, once-a-decade alternative to rethink what a browser could be,” Altman mentioned. “In the identical means that, for the earlier means individuals used the web, the URL bar and the search field have been a fantastic analogue, what we’re beginning to see is that the chat expertise and the online browser is usually a fast analogue.”
It was an inspiring observe, within the traditional Steve Jobs mode. However much more necessary than Altman’s browser was the detritus he was sweeping apart to make room. It wasn’t simply casting present-day browsers as previous, however half of an entire package deal of products which are about to get replaced by AI — as Altman put it, a part of “the earlier means individuals used the web.” And most of these soon-to-be out of date companies hint again to a single firm: Google.
OpenAI’s browser challenge has been an open secret in Silicon Valley since at the least this summer season — and it was clear from the start that it will be a possible risk to Google, present proprietor of the world’s hottest browser. However Tuesday’s product and presentation particulars made it clear precisely how a lot the online big has to lose within the AI period — and the way little the Google’s success with Gemini appears to have helped.
The speedy risk is easy sufficient: ChatGPT attracts 800 million customers per week, and if these customers swap to Atlas, they’re almost certainly switching away from Chrome. Dropping these customers doesn’t have a direct greenback value for Google (it’s a free product, in any case) however it limits Google’s skill to focus on advertisements to these customers or nudge them to Google Search — a selected sore level as a result of, simply final month, Google was barred by the US Division of Justice from making any search exclusivity offers.
Then, there’s how OpenAI offers with search itself. AI has already strained the search mannequin of the online, surfacing processed data as an alternative of content material that may be marketed towards. However on OpenAI’s livestream, Atlas head of engineering Ben Goodger (himself a central determine in growing each Firefox and Chrome) described the brand new form of chat-oriented search as a paradigm shift.
“This new mannequin of search is admittedly highly effective,” Goodger mentioned. “It’s a multi-turn expertise. You’ll be able to have this back-and-forth along with your search outcomes as an alternative of simply being despatched off to an internet web page.”
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After all, Google has completed rather a lot to combine AI into the traditional search expertise — however the firm has largely approached it the identical means as product listings or critiques: by including a field to the outcomes web page. However OpenAI’s form of engaged back-and-forth is past something you may get on Chrome, and given its profoundly totally different strategy, it’s not one thing that may be simply copied. If OpenAI’s search interface proves fashionable, it might be a severe risk to Google’s dominance.
Then there’s the promoting query. OpenAI doesn’t serve promoting in the mean time, however it has been cautious to not rule it out. The corporate has additionally been itemizing a variety of adtech jobs these days, fueling hypothesis that an advert pivot is likely to be on the best way. With Atlas, ChatGPT can now accumulate context immediately from a consumer’s browser window — offering a variety of extraordinarily priceless information for advert focusing on. It’s an unprecedented stage of direct browser entry: actually trying on the phrases in your display as you kind them. And after many years of privateness scares, it’s not the form of delicate data that customers are doubtless to provide to Google or Meta.
It’s nonetheless early days for Atlas and rather a lot will rely on the product itself — and whether or not customers actually need what OpenAI is providing right here. However the firm has plotted a surprisingly industrial path right here, one targeted on consumer and income development quite than hazy ambitions round AGI. As infrastructure wonks ponder the $300 billion query of whether or not OpenAI’s revenues can ever stay as much as its monumental information middle buildout, merchandise like Atlas will be the first place to search for a solution.