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Leon Cooperman Predicts Inventory Market Downturn, Foresees Rise In Lengthy-Time period Charges: ‘I Imagine That One Ought to Have A Cautious View’



Famend investor Leon Cooperman has issued a warning concerning the inventory market, citing the potential for a downturn. He additionally anticipates an increase in long-term rates of interest.

What Occurred: Cooperman, the chair and CEO of the Omega Household Workplace, expressed his issues concerning the inventory market’s future throughout an interview with CNBC’s “Squawk Field” on Monday. He believes that the present inventory costs are too excessive and will quickly expertise a decline. Moreover, he foresees the potential of long-term rates of interest growing.

Cooperman’s remarks come at a time when the inventory market has been displaying resilience, regardless of issues about inflation and the Federal Reserve’s financial coverage.

“I believe the Fed will lower brief charges, perhaps two or thrice. Neglect the six occasions that the market was discounting, however I believe the lengthy finish will go up,” Cooperman stated. “The ten-year [at] 4%, 5% or larger wouldn’t be a giant shock.”

“I believe we will have inflation,” Cooperman stated. “I am not calling for recession. We borrow for the long run. That is why the market has achieved so effectively. … I imagine that one ought to have a cautious view.”

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Why It Issues: Cooperman’s warning is important given his observe file and the present market situations. In January, high buyers have been assured that the market would not face a recession in 2024, with many backing the “lengthy Magnificent Seven” commerce. Nonetheless, Cooperman’s current warning suggests a possible shift in market sentiment.

Cooperman’s issues additionally align with these raised by different market specialists. Fund supervisor Cole Smead warned that the U.S. inventory market may very well be in a precarious place as a consequence of strong job numbers and wage development, which recommend that the Federal Reserve’s rate of interest hikes is probably not having the specified impression.

Nonetheless, not all market specialists share this pessimistic view. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee highlighted the inventory market’s power in 2024, regardless of issues about company earnings and the timing of Fed price hikes. The Fed’s current assembly recommended no imminent price cuts till inflation is below management, a sentiment echoed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell in a “60 Minutes” interview.

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