Dogecoin (DOGE) pared some losses versus Bitcoin (BTC) on March 10, a day after the DOGE/BTC pair fell to its lowest stage since October 2022. Can the DOGE worth see an prolonged rebound forward? 

On the every day chart, the DOGE/BTC pair reached 331 sats, up 4.75% in comparison with the day before today’s low of 316 sats. The bounce occurred round a multimonth descending trendline, which has capped the pair’s draw back strikes since November 2022.

DOGE/BTC every day worth chart. Supply: TradingView

DOGE worth vs. BTC

Curiously, the DOGE/BTC descending trendline seems to be a part of a prevailing falling wedge sample. Conventional chart analysts take into account the falling wedge a bullish reversal setup, notably due to the sample’s 62% success fee in assembly its upside worth targets.

In Dogecoin’s case, the value is wobbling round its falling wedge’s apex level, the place its higher and decrease trendlines converge. DOGE’s newest rebound from the decrease trendline will increase its risk of testing the higher trendline for a breakout, as illustrated within the chart beneath.

DOGE/BTC every day worth chart that includes falling wedge breakout. Supply: TradingView

The upside setup additional attracts assist from the DOGE/BTC’s every day relative strength index (RSI), with a studying of round 28. From a technical perspective, an RSI beneath 30 means the pair is oversold, which might immediate its worth to consolidate sideways or rebound.

Within the occasion of a breakout, DOGE/BTC can rise towards 500 sats by April, up 50% from present worth ranges. The upside goal is measured after including the utmost distance between the falling wedge’s higher and decrease trendline to the breakout level. 

Nevertheless, a decisive drop beneath the falling wedge’s decrease trendline dangers invalidating the entire upside setup. As a substitute, DOGE can drop towards 280 sats, a historic assist stage down round 13% from present worth ranges.

Such a situation is feasible given Dogecoin’s stint with a failed falling wedge pattern in March 2022, the place the DOGE/USD pair broke beneath the decrease trendline — 50% losses adopted.

Which means for DOGE worth?

Nevertheless, Dogecoin might nonetheless fall in U.S. greenback phrases, primarily as a consequence of increasing macroeconomic uncertainty.

In recent years, the Dogecoin price rallied primarily on the heels of news-driven events and Elon Musk’s support, together with hopes of a DOGE payment option on Twitter.

Associated: Why is the crypto market down today?

Nevertheless, Musk mentioned on March 3 that he would shift his focus from cryptocurrencies to synthetic intelligence. The billionaire entrepreneur didn’t identify Dogecoin particularly, however many interpreted that Musk could distance himself from the business transferring ahead. 

The worth of Dogecoin has dropped by greater than 20% to $0.06 since Musk’s tweet. Furthermore, from a technical perspective, the value is well-positioned to drop by one other 10% within the coming weeks in a retest of an outdated assist stage at round $0.055–0.042.

DOGE/USD weekly worth chart. Supply: TradingView

Conversely, a bounce from the assist vary might have DOGE’s worth rally check the triangle’s higher trendline at round $0.076, leading to positive aspects of roughly 15% from present worth ranges.

This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.