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BTC price preserves $16.5K, but funding rates raise risk of new Bitcoin lows

bitwolf by bitwolf
December 30, 2022
in Market & Analysis
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Bitcoin (BTC) staged a modest restoration on Dec. 29 as United States inventory markets rebounded in step.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

$10,000 BTC worth targets stick

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD recovering above $16,600 on the Wall Avenue open after wicking under $16,500 for a second day.

The pair remained unappealing to merchants, a lot of whom feared a deeper retracement should happen across the new yr.

In an inventory of potential “capitulation targets,” Crypto Tony doubled down on a worth of $10,000 and decrease for Bitcoin, whereas additionally revealing expectations for Ether (ETH) to dip as little as $300.

“Issues change fast, but when we hit these areas I start to ladder,” a part of accompanying commentary learn.

Daan Crypto Trades, in the meantime, put the present spot worth on the backside of an space that “should maintain” for BTC bulls to have a shot at upside.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Daan Cypto Trades/Twitter

“The whole market seems dangerous… Factor is that some altcoins look even worse,” Il Capo of Crypto continued, predicting forthcoming altcoin losses of as much as 90%.

The draw back thesis was supported by derivatives markets on Dec. 29, with funding charges constructive whereas worth motion didn’t rally.

“Layman phrases, Lengthy/Brief ratio is constructive first time since Could, means extra Longs than Shorts now, OI and Funding is constructive, means individuals are betting on perpetual market BTC will pump, worth construction seems dangerous and this may be simply one other native high right here and dump. Watch out!” common commentator aQua summarized.

BTC/USD perpetual futures chart (Bybit) with lengthy/quick ratio. Supply: aQua/Twitter

A barely extra hopeful perspective got here from Blockware head analyst Joe Burnett, who argued {that a} painful interval in Bitcoin’s historical past was slowly coming to an finish.

“Everyone seems to be bearish, but Bitcoin remains to be buying and selling across the identical worth it was in June ($17.5k),” he reasoned.

“The mining business has been decimated, and most of the weak palms (BTC and ASICs) have been purged. Quickly we are going to start one other gradual ascent.”

U.S. greenback energy “needs to bounce”

Brief-term BTC worth motion acquired a lift from U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 up 1.4% and the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 2.1% within the first hour’s buying and selling.

Associated: Bitcoin price would surge past $600K if ‘hardest asset’ matches gold

The U.S. greenback continued a broader consolidation after two straight days of beneficial properties for the U.S. Greenback Index (DXY).

“Bitcoin swept the low / 16.5k, stuffed the FVG and put in a third drive with a number of H1 bullish divergences. It’s now or by no means for the bulls to take this again up,” entrepreneur Mark Cullen commented.

“Lose the 16.2k degree and the yearly low might be in menace & decrease + $DXY seems prefer it needs to bounce!”

DXY 1-day candle chart. Supply: TradingView

With simply two days till the weekly, month-to-month, quarterly and yearly shut, BTC/USD was down round 60% year-to-date, 3% for December and 14.2% in This fall, knowledge from Coinglass confirmed.

BTC/USD month-to-month returns chart (sceenshot). Supply: Coinglass

The views, ideas and opinions expressed listed here are the authors’ alone and don’t essentially mirror or signify the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.



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