Because the altcoin market experiences a resurgence, XRP has struggled to achieve momentum, consolidating between $2.70 and $3 for the previous two weeks. 

Regardless of the thrill surrounding potential exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that would spend money on the altcoin if authorized, The Motley Idiot has cautioned that the present market correction might persist longer than many anticipate.

Warns Of Extended Downtrend

In a latest evaluation, the agency attributed a few of XRP’s lackluster efficiency to a common malaise within the cryptocurrency market, the place merchants are ready for Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s main cryptocurrency, to steer a brand new worth rally. 

Nevertheless, two important elements recommend that XRP might face a extra extended downtrend than beforehand anticipated. The anticipated launch of latest spot crypto ETFs has been a focus of dialogue for the reason that starting of the 12 months. 

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A number of asset managers have submitted purposes to the Securities and Alternate Fee (SEC) to create spot XRP ETFs, with Bloomberg estimating a 95% approval probability and on-line prediction markets estimating 94%.

Whereas approval appears possible, the actual query revolves across the demand for these ETFs. XRP, at the moment the world’s third-largest cryptocurrency, undoubtedly has some stage of institutional curiosity, but the precise inflows inform a distinct story. 

Knowledge signifies that solely $1.25 billion flowed into XRP from institutional traders through the first eight months of 2025. JPMorgan Chase has projected that the upcoming ETFs might entice between $4 billion and $8 billion into XRP. 

Nevertheless, the agency asserts that even the decrease finish of this estimate may not considerably affect XRP’s worth motion over the long-term, given its present market capitalization of $180 billion.

Restoration For XRP Could Not Happen Till 2026

Whereas there may be appreciable optimism amongst analysts concerning XRP’s future, with some worth predictions suggesting it might attain new document costs of as much as $4, $5, and even $10, the corporations famous that these projections don’t account for the dangers of short-term worth declines. 

Based on crypto betting platform, Polymarket, there’s a 32% probability of XRP dropping to $2.50 this 12 months, a 30% probability it might fall to $2.40, and a 27% probability of plummeting to $2. 

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These statistics point out that XRP might proceed to float decrease over the subsequent few months earlier than any significant restoration takes place, doubtlessly not occurring till 2026.

In the end, The Motley Idiot evaluation means that any upward motion for XRP is more likely to rely on Bitcoin’s efficiency. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim its earlier peak by the top of the 12 months, it will likely be difficult for XRP to provoke its personal rally. 

As of this writing, the XRP worth has recovered the $3.0675 mark, representing a 1.5% surge throughout the final 24 hours. This pales compared to Ethereum’s (ETH) 5% features throughout the similar time-frame. 

Featured picture from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com