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HomeStartupWall Avenue analysts clarify how AMD’s personal inventory will pay for OpenAI’s billions in chip purchases 

Wall Avenue analysts clarify how AMD’s personal inventory will pay for OpenAI’s billions in chip purchases 


After AMD and OpenAI introduced an expanded partnership on Monday, the chatter instantly turned to the weird method OpenAI would pay for its AMD purchases. It should use AMD’s personal inventory to take action. 

To recap: OpenAI has agreed to assist AMD refine its line of Nvidia competitor chips, the Intuition GPUs, in addition to to buy and deploy 6 gigawatts of compute capability from AMD over a number of years. AMD stated this deal is value billions in income. 

However OpenAI isn’t paying for this out of its personal revenues. As an alternative AMD has granted OpenAI a boatload of inventory warrants — as much as 160 million AMD shares — which can vest in tranches as sure milestones are achieved. These milestones embrace particular will increase within the inventory value, with the final tranche depending on AMD shares hovering to $600 million apiece, AMD disclosed. They had been buying and selling at about $165 earlier than the information hit and soared to $214 by market shut Monday after the announcement.  

If the inventory value hits its marks, and OpenAI achieves all its required contributions, and OpenAI holds all of AMD’s shares, not promoting any alongside the best way, OpenAI might make sufficient on AMD inventory to pay for lots of GPUs. The inventory might be value a few $100 billion.  

“We might word that the ultimate sixth tranche requires ~$1T market cap to vest – ergo, if OAI had been to carry inventory till the top of the deal, its stake can be value ~$100B,” writes UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri in a analysis word on Tuesday.  

However Arcuri believes {that a} extra possible state of affairs is that OpenAI will promote its AMD inventory alongside the best way to pay its AMD invoice. So, basically, this can be a scheme for AMD to finance this buyer’s purchases.  

Nonetheless, Arcuri argues, the validation that AMD’s AI GPUs can deal with OpenAI workloads, and ergo every other AI workloads, is efficacious sufficient for AMD to make this financing gambit. “AMD highlighted ongoing buyer dialogs past OpenAI and expects this settlement to finally speed up AMD adoption momentum,” he writes. Specifically, OpenAI’s stamp of approval offers it an in to promote its GPUs to the numerous cloud service suppliers it already supplies with CPUs.  

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So in the long term, those who will really be paying for OpenAI’s large multi-year buy of AMD GPUs can be retail and intuitional buyers in the event that they do certainly bid the inventory value up. 

In some ways Nvidia can be financing OpenAI’s purchases of Nvidia’s wares with its personal $100 billion funding introduced final month. The distinction, after all, is that Nvidia’s a number of investments in OpenAI has granted Nvidia a stake within the fast-growing AI supplier, not the opposite method round. 

However what selection did AMD have? By financially engineering a deal that prices OpenAI little, it will get a major foothold — as a lot as 30% marketshare, USB estimates — into one of many greatest build-outs of next-generation information facilities the world has ever seen.  

Whereas Arcuri admits that AMD’s deal is “arguably much less engaging” than Nvidia’s, “we see this as a serious validation of its [AMD’s] roadmap that might snowball to different clients.” 

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