Jeff Park, chief funding officer at ProCap BTC and an advisor to Bitwise, pushed again towards Paul Tudor Jones’ newest warning that markets “really feel precisely like 1999,” arguing that the macro regime of 2025 is structurally totally different from the dot-com period and, crucially, extra supportive of Bitcoin. Park’s commentary adopted Jones’ interview on CNBC, the place the billionaire dealer stated the setup resembles the late-cycle blow-off that preceded the tech crash, at the same time as he continued to reward Bitcoin as an asset with excessive attraction.

Bitcoin Will Thrive, Not Crash

In a X publish, Park referred to as comparisons to 1999 “lazy,” contending that the drivers of asset costs right this moment are dominated by fiscal and financial dynamics that bear little resemblance to the surplus-era, pre-QE backdrop of the late Nineties. “In 1999, markets had been pushed by non-public sector exuberance at a time with minimal fiscal drag—the US govt was truly operating a funds surplus,” he wrote. “Immediately the markets are completely influenced by large fiscal spending and debt monetization because the US is clearly drowning in debt.” Park concluded flatly: “So no. To me it doesn’t ‘really feel precisely like 1999’ in any respect. It looks like the chance of a lifetime for many who are ready.”

Park contrasted the Federal Reserve’s current posture with that of the Greenspan Fed on the top of the dot-com growth. “In 1999, Fed was elevating charges, stability sheet was small, and there was no QE. In 2025, charges are declining, the stability sheet is huge, and we’ve got extra acronyms than we will depend,” he stated, arguing that plentiful liquidity—now extra globally synchronized—has turn out to be the defining function of this cycle. He added that with the US Treasury Normal Account refilled, the world is “about to embark on a worldwide liquidity binge.”

Associated Studying

He additional emphasised the presence of highly effective cross-border suggestions loops that didn’t exist 25 years in the past, pointing to coverage transmission and supply-chain realignments that tether US danger property to the worldwide financial system. Park cited Japan for instance of how abroad coverage can amplify liquidity situations, referencing pro-stimulus alerts from incoming management. On Monday, Japanese equities surged after Sanae Takaichi received management of the ruling LDP on expectations of ongoing fiscal help—an occasion markets learn as one other nudge towards lodging.

Park additionally drew a pointy distinction between the late-Nineties greenback cycle and right this moment’s macro hedging habits, arguing that, not like in 2000–2002, gold is now “actually on a tear with each sovereign actor taking part in the board.” On the day of his remarks, spot gold printed recent all-time highs above $3,900 per ounce, a transfer extensively attributed to safe-haven demand and expectations of additional US price cuts—context that underscores Park’s level in regards to the present reflex to laborious property.

Associated Studying

The place Jones sees echoes of exuberance that might finish badly, Park sees a regime that channels liquidity into scarce, non-sovereign property—bitcoin foremost amongst them. He argued that “in 1999 there was no bitcoin, social media, nor smartphones. In 2025, everybody world wide has an escape valve of their pocket,” a line that cuts to Bitcoin’s structural distinction from dot-com equities: bearer settlement, programmatic issuance, and a rising base of world distribution that may be mobilized in actual time.

Paul Tudor Jones On Bitcoin

Jones’ personal stance on Bitcoin stays constructive at the same time as he warns of a frothy tape. In his CNBC look, he stated the setting “feels precisely like 1999,” invoking the Nasdaq’s parabolic transfer into March 2000, however he additionally reiterated the asset’s attraction—persevering with a years-long thread through which he has described bitcoin as a robust inflation hedge and “one of many quickest horses.” The split-screen—macro warning on equities, optimism on bitcoin—helped catalyze Park’s rebuttal that this cycle is “constructed for Bitcoin, not bubbles.”

Notably, Park’s argument neither denies the opportunity of sharp drawdowns nor ensures a unidirectional path. Slightly, it hinges on the composition of liquidity, the character of fiscal dominance, and the habits of hard-asset hedges in an period of heavy sovereign stability sheets. Gold’s concurrent breakout, Japan’s coverage bias towards stimulus, and buyers’ hunt for non-dilutive shops of worth all feed his core rivalry that 2025’s setup “is nothing like 1999”—and that Bitcoin, greater than the dot-com darlings of yesteryear, is positioned to be the principal beneficiary.

At press time, Bitcoin traded at $124,024.

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com